Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nickel | 34 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +10.2 |
| Devin McGlockton | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +11.7 |
| Chris Manon | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +12.4 |
| Jason Edwards | 30 | 8-18 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +9.8 |
| A.J. Hoggard | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +5.7 |
| Grant Huffman | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Jaylen Carey | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +7.0 |
| Tyler Tanner | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +3.6 |
| MJ Collins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| J. Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett | 37 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | -7.1 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | -6.7 |
| Jordan Ross | 33 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -6.6 |
| Augustas Marciulionis | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | -10.1 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 23 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Harry Wessels | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Mikey Lewis | 16 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | -4.5 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Joshua Dent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter