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2025-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.8 โœ“ (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon Ducks +29 (81-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach Cleveland 34 4-10 0-0 2-2 6 6 0 1 4 10 9 -23.7
Kaden Metheny 32 3-13 3-12 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 9 1 -19.6
Colin Porter 31 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 2 2 -13.6
Jayvon Maughmer 23 3-6 0-2 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 7 5 -20.9
Taelon Peter 22 3-9 2-7 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 8 0 -21.7
Owen Aquino 20 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 1 1 3 6 -11.5
Zander Yates 14 2-7 1-6 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -7.5
Brett Decker Jr. 8 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 5 -3.1
Gabriel McKay 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8
Will Gibson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8
Bryson Spell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1
Kai Yu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.1
Curtis Blair III 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +3.1
JC Shirer Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keeshawn Barthelemy 27 4-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 10 2 +14.4
Jackson Shelstad 25 7-11 3-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 17 13 +21.8
Brandon Angel 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 5 5 +17.2
Nate Bittle 22 6-12 1-3 1-1 10 1 1 1 1 14 14 +13.5
TJ Bamba 22 2-6 0-1 2-2 2 4 4 0 0 6 10 +17.2
Jadrian Tracey 18 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 +13.9
Kwame Evans Jr. 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 1 3 6 7 +9.2
Supreme Cook 14 2-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 2 6 8 -
Ra'Heim Moss 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 6 +8.3
Jamari Phillips 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 0 +0.8
Drew Carter 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -3.0
Mookie Cook 4 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Jayson Williams-Johnson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -3.2
James Cooper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter