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2025-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions West Virginia Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 17.0% 83.0% -

Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers +19 (78-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Weiss 38 5-12 4-8 0-0 5 2 1 1 4 14 7 -12.1
C. Collins 35 6-15 2-3 2-2 4 6 1 0 5 16 7 -21.2
K. Henderson 34 4-10 1-3 4-6 9 3 3 1 5 13 14 -14.9
S. Rafiu 27 2-6 0-1 1-4 4 0 1 0 1 5 3 -5.2
P. Page 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 5 6 -8.7
M. Avlijas 24 2-6 1-4 1-2 1 1 2 0 3 6 1 -13.4
M. Broom 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 0 -3 -0.3
M. Arrebola 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -6.5

West Virginia Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Watson 38 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 1 4 4 4 +19.9
JJ Quinerly 36 9-19 2-7 7-8 4 7 7 0 8 27 18 +10.9
S. Shaw 35 2-8 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 1 +15.5
J. Harrison 34 9-12 2-3 3-6 4 6 3 0 4 23 20 +19.6
J. Thomas 23 5-8 0-0 2-2 9 0 1 2 1 12 15 +13.9
S. Woodley 15 4-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 3 0 1 8 5 +10.7
K. Blacksten 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -0.5
T. Moore 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +4.3

* = starter