🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 69.4% 30.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.4% 65.6% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Log Adjusted 29.6% 70.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks -7 (72-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner 40 5-12 1-4 3-3 3 6 2 0 2 14 11 +12.3
J. Aidoo 39 10-19 0-0 2-2 5 1 3 3 1 22 14 +10.8
J. Davis 31 5-10 4-9 4-4 3 1 2 1 1 18 14 +20.0
T. Brazile 27 4-9 1-5 2-4 12 0 1 2 1 11 16 +9.6
B. Fland 24 2-7 0-4 2-2 1 3 3 0 0 6 6 +10.9
B. Richmond III 19 0-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 2 0 -0.5
K. Knox 16 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 3 6 4 +1.4
Z. Ivisic 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.7

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Mayo 36 5-8 4-5 4-4 6 2 2 0 4 18 16 -10.8
K.J. Adams Jr. 32 5-8 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 13 9 +5.2
D. Harris Jr. 30 4-11 0-2 0-0 2 7 2 0 2 8 6 -14.4
H. Dickinson 29 4-13 1-4 2-2 9 4 0 0 4 11 7 -12.2
AJ Storr 28 4-7 2-3 5-6 3 1 0 1 0 15 13 -6.1
F. Bidunga 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 4 5 -5.0
R. Griffen 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -7.6
D. Coit 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +7.4
S. Moore 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.0
R. Passmore 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter