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2025-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 53.3% 46.7% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (21.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Log Adjusted 15.1% 84.9% -
Points Off/Def 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mascari 40 2-8 1-4 1-2 3 3 4 0 1 6 7 +16.0
B. Stirtz 40 8-11 3-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 21 12 +13.8
T. Banks 25 5-11 0-0 5-10 9 0 3 3 1 15 18 +2.7
K. Combs 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 4 1 0 4 4 7 +13.5
D. Abreu 19 2-4 0-1 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 4 4 -5.7
I. Jackson 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 3 6 +4.0
C. Manyawu 18 3-4 0-0 1-5 4 1 3 0 0 7 11 +15.8
I. Howard 17 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 7 5 +12.6

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mitchell 35 2-8 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 0 2 8 9 -13.4
C. Grill 35 4-10 1-7 5-5 4 0 4 0 0 14 12 -7.7
T. Bates 30 3-6 0-1 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 10 5 -2.7
A. Robinson II 29 0-5 0-1 4-6 3 2 3 1 3 4 5 -2.8
M. Warrick 15 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 -1 -7.7
T. Perkins 14 2-4 1-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 7 -1 -6.5
T. Pierce 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2.8
J. Crews 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 0 -11.4
T.O. Barrett 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -1.8
J. Gray 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -5.3

* = starter