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2025-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
ELO 41.4% 58.6% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.3 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
KenPom Style 43.7% 56.3% -
Log Adjusted 43.7% 56.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. Hodges 36 5-13 2-5 1-1 5 4 3 13 6
E. Hess 33 7-14 3-7 - 7 4 17 14
E. Aegisdottir 26 2-5 - 1-2 4 3 1 5 8
A. Mills 25 1-4 1-4 - 1 1 1 3 0
B. Smuda 22 6-10 - 2-2 12 2 2 3 14 17
E. Stout 17 6-7 - 8-11 1 2 1 20 15
B. Moore 17 2-5 1-3 - 2 1 5 1
P. Steenbergen 14 -4 -1 - 3 1 2 2 0
A. Boone 5 -1 - 1-2 1 1 1 0
A. Badosa 5 - - - 1 1 0

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
G. Amoore 40 12-24 6-10 4-5 2 8 2 2 2 34 22
D. Lawrence 38 5-13 3-9 3-4 2 3 2 2 16 8
T. Key 32 2-11 -2 2-2 5 2 1 2 1 6 4
C. Strack 31 6-10 1-1 2-2 10 1 2 2 15 20
A. Hassett 30 2-7 2-7 - 4 1 1 3 1 6 7
S. Tyler 15 -1 - - 2 1
C. Silva 8 1-1 - - 2 1 1 2 5
L. Blue 6 - - - 1 -1
C. Rowe 0 - - - 0

* = starter