Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hodges | 36 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | +8.4 |
| E. Hess | 33 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +12.0 |
| E. Aegisdottir | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +14.1 |
| A. Mills | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +8.7 |
| B. Smuda | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 17 | +1.8 |
| E. Stout | 17 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | +5.1 |
| B. Moore | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| P. Steenbergen | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
| A. Boone | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4.1 |
| A. Badosa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Amoore | 40 | 12-24 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 22 | -4.2 |
| D. Lawrence | 38 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -5.1 |
| T. Key | 32 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +6.5 |
| C. Strack | 31 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 20 | +5.3 |
| A. Hassett | 30 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -13.2 |
| S. Tyler | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| C. Silva | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.3 |
| L. Blue | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
| C. Rowe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter