Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +3 (68-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gray | 38 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -7.0 |
| N. Kapic | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -14.7 |
| T. McGhie | 35 | 9-27 | 3-15 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | -12.9 |
| C. Howell | 34 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -12.9 |
| A. Tait-Jones | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -16.8 |
| J. Rochelin | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +7.4 |
| A. Burke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.8 |
| M. Milovich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wolf | 33 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | +15.0 |
| T. Donaldson | 33 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +13.6 |
| V. Goldin | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +14.4 |
| R. Jones | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +5.5 |
| R. Gayle Jr. | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +18.1 |
| N. Burnett | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +7.7 |
| W. Tschetter | 17 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2.6 |
| L.J. Cason | 9 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +0.2 |
* = starter