Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: American University Eagles -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedy Cordilia | 37 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | +9.2 |
| Xavier Lipscomb | 36 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.7 |
| Dola Adebayo | 34 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Dallas Hobbs | 34 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +17.0 |
| Arlandus Keyes | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | +10.8 |
| Javon Ervin | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Malcolm Dread | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Patrick Haigh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Trey Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | -16.3 |
| Greg Jones | 26 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 25 | 6-12 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | -4.8 |
| Colin Smalls | 24 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -19.8 |
| Lincoln Ball | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -7.8 |
| Matt Mayock | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Eric Michaels | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -5.3 |
| Mason Whittaker | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 11 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.4 |
| Matt Rogers | 8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Julen Iturbe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter