Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentino Pinedo | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 36 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | -1.2 |
| Riley Parker | 32 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -3.5 |
| Chris Moncrief | 31 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -1.3 |
| Daemar Kelly | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Wisler Sanon | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Aidan Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines | 32 | 4-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | +0.4 |
| TJ Madlock | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jasteven Walker | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Amarr Knox | 26 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Micah Octave | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.3 |
| D'Ante Bass | 18 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Micah Simpson | 17 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Ubong Okon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +8.7 |
| Tyler Mack | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.8 |
* = starter