Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +10 (100-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 40 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -9.3 |
| Javan Simmons | 36 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | -8.3 |
| Seth Hubbard | 31 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 18 | -12.4 |
| Isaiah Adams | 30 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -9.0 |
| Sam Lewis | 30 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | -9.6 |
| Bryce Ford | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.1 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.2 |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson | 36 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 28 | +11.4 |
| Tavari Johnson | 29 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | +8.5 |
| Shammah Scott | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Amani Lyles | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 18 | +12.6 |
| Isaiah Gray | 21 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +7.3 |
| Seth Wilson | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Bowen Hardman | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Sharron Young | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +0.9 |
| James Okonkwo | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
* = starter