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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Akron Zips Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 9.3% 90.7% - โœ“
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.4% 93.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“

Actual: Akron Zips +29 (96-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Johnson 36 9-17 5-7 0-0 7 2 1 0 6 23 10 -24.1
Derrick Butler 35 3-14 0-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -8 -26.8
DaJion Humphrey 31 1-4 0-2 3-4 7 0 1 0 3 5 6 -22.2
Javontae Campbell 31 2-10 0-2 6-8 1 4 4 0 3 10 6 -25.2
Jamai Felt 25 6-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 12 9 -25.1
W. Exacte 19 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 2 3 -8.7
Braelon Green 19 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 8 8 -2.7
Jaxon Pardon 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 +5.9
Preston Squire 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.9

Akron Zips

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shammah Scott 26 4-10 1-5 5-6 6 1 1 1 0 14 13 +17.4
Seth Wilson 24 5-7 5-7 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 15 10 +13.7
Tavari Johnson 24 6-12 2-6 0-0 0 7 2 0 1 14 10 +12.2
Isaiah Gray 23 4-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 2 1 1 11 11 +20.0
Bowen Hardman 22 6-9 4-7 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 17 10 +11.7
Nate Johnson 22 1-9 1-5 0-0 8 5 1 1 1 3 8 +25.4
James Okonkwo 18 3-4 0-0 2-3 8 0 3 2 2 8 15 +12.7
Amani Lyles 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 2 2 8 +15.5
Sharron Young 16 4-7 2-4 2-2 0 1 4 0 0 12 10 +12.8
Marvin Musiime-Kamali 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -9.0
Evan Wilson 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -6.0

* = starter