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2025-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 โœ— (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - โœ—

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Pridgen 36 7-11 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 1 3 17 12 +17.0
Brandon Whitney 35 7-9 2-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 1 18 13 +10.9
Malik Moore 33 5-7 3-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 15 12 +10.0
Kai Johnson 32 7-10 2-2 7-8 3 1 0 2 3 23 16 +2.2
Te'Jon Sawyer 28 3-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 6 5 +18.2
Money Williams 18 1-4 0-2 5-5 0 1 1 0 2 7 3 -4.7
Austin Patterson 16 0-1 0-1 5-6 6 1 0 0 0 5 11 -11.0
Amari Jedkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaron Rillie 40 10-15 3-6 1-2 4 6 2 0 2 24 19 -4.0
Langston Reynolds 37 7-12 1-2 3-4 2 2 0 0 2 18 8 -8.9
Brock Wisne 34 5-7 0-0 5-6 3 0 2 0 2 15 11 -9.9
Isaiah Hawthorne 34 3-7 0-2 8-8 2 2 0 0 1 14 10 -15.2
Zach Bloch 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -6.0
Quinn Denker 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 +6.1
Marcell McCreary 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 5 2 +0.8
Taeshaud Jackson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.9

* = starter