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2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +23 (78-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kolton Mitchell 37 3-13 0-2 6-7 3 1 0 0 1 12 2 -12.8
Jack Payne 33 6-12 4-9 2-3 6 1 1 0 4 18 10 -20.6
Julius Mims 28 2-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 1 0 6 9 -5.4
Kristian Gonzalez 28 4-10 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 8 3 -12.2
Titus Yearout 23 2-5 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 1 0 7 6 +0.9
Tyler Mrus 20 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -10.9
Tyler Linhardt 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -12.5
Isaiah Brickner 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 0 4 +1.2
Kyson Rose 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.7
Ewan Steele 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0
Takai Hardy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0
Miles Klapper 1 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -0.1
Jack Hatten 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2
Jojo Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0
Jayden Stevens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Whitney 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 7 8 +7.4
Money Williams 29 4-12 1-6 4-4 4 5 0 0 1 13 9 +12.2
Te'Jon Sawyer 28 3-5 2-2 1-2 5 2 1 0 0 9 12 +19.1
Austin Patterson 27 6-11 5-10 3-4 6 2 4 0 1 20 20 +9.5
Kai Johnson 25 5-9 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 13 5 +12.7
Malik Moore 24 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 7 8 +14.1
Joe Pridgen 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 6 11 +8.3
Jensen Bradtke 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.2
Jeremiah Dargan 2 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -0.0
Amari Jedkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Jalen Foy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Adam Shoff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter