Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +27 (72-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -12.6 |
| Bryce Zephir | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -14.7 |
| Sam Lecholat | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -17.3 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 25 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -22.3 |
| Jabe Mullins | 23 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -18.6 |
| Tyler Patterson | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -11.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | +7.7 |
| Brian Goracke | 16 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Chika Nduka | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Calum Rutherfurd | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.9 |
| BJ Kolly | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Rillie | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | +25.0 |
| Isaiah Hawthorne | 33 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +24.3 |
| Brock Wisne | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +14.5 |
| Quinn Denker | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +20.8 |
| Langston Reynolds | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +4.8 |
| Marcell McCreary | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +13.9 |
| Zach Bloch | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Taeshaud Jackson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +4.4 |
| Egan Shields | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| William Humer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Radek Homer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
* = starter