Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -20 (60-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabe Mullins | 28 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +19.6 |
| Jed Miller | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | +18.8 |
| Sam Lecholat | 27 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +13.7 |
| Tyler Patterson | 26 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +28.7 |
| Patrick McMahon | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +21.0 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Bryce Zephir | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Brian Goracke | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -0.4 |
| Chika Nduka | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +13.6 |
| Calum Rutherfurd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Darling | 36 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 6-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | -26.9 |
| Jake O'Neil | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -20.3 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -22.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | -20.3 |
| AJ Burgin | 22 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -8.3 |
| Evan Otten | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Jackson Greene | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Blake Daberkow | 16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -15.5 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Quentin Meza | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Justin Graham | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.0 |
* = starter