Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.6% | 78.4% | +7.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Skytta | 37 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Bailey Nunn | 36 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -6.8 |
| Jacob Holt | 31 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | -3.9 |
| Michael Wilson | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 27 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -11.5 |
| EJ Neal | 25 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | +6.7 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Leo Ricketts | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viljami Vartiainen | 39 | 10-13 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 21 | +10.0 |
| Blaise Threatt | 37 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 22 | +6.6 |
| Trevor Hennig | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +9.4 |
| Nigel Burris | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -3.8 |
| Nemanja Sarenac | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +8.9 |
| Declan Cutler | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Alex Tew | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Vasilije Vucinic | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.5 |
| Saadiq Moore | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter