Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UAB Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UAB Blazers +17 (94-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley | 39 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | -6.1 |
| RJ Felton | 36 | 10-19 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 | -4.7 |
| Cam Hayes | 34 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | -10.3 |
| C.J. Walker | 26 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Jayshayne Woodard | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -13.4 |
| Cyr Malonga | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Reid Cason | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Tybo Bailey | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Yann Farell | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.1 |
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 40 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 51 | +10.8 |
| Tony Toney | 32 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +10.1 |
| Christian Coleman | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Efrem Johnson | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +10.8 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 25 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Alejandro Vasquez | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Tyren Moore | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4.5 |
| Bradley Ezewiro | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +4.7 |
* = starter