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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Florida Atlantic Owls Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% - โœ“
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls +5 (64-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nik Graves 37 4-14 1-5 5-6 7 4 0 2 1 14 12 -8.6
Robert Braswell 36 3-11 3-8 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 10 4 -13.2
Giancarlo Rosado 34 4-6 0-1 3-6 7 2 1 0 1 11 14 -4.5
Kylan Blackmon 31 2-6 1-4 3-4 1 0 0 1 3 8 1 -6.7
Nika Metskhvarishvili 30 4-8 1-3 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 9 7 -5.0
Jaehshon Thomas 23 3-11 1-6 0-1 1 1 1 0 1 7 -2 -11.6
Dean Reiber 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 -6.8
Isaiah Folkes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -1.0

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Baba Miller 35 5-9 1-3 2-8 5 1 1 2 1 13 12 +9.8
Kaleb Glenn 28 3-9 0-2 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 7 3 -1.0
Leland Walker 28 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 2 4 +14.7
Matas Vokietaitis 24 7-8 0-0 3-7 7 2 0 2 0 17 20 +13.8
K. Evans Jr. 22 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 1 5 -2.6
Niccolo Moretti 21 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 8 10 +5.9
Tre Carroll 19 3-7 0-1 6-6 2 1 1 1 2 12 8 -0.3
KyKy Tandy 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +9.1
Devin Vanterpool 11 0-1 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 +9.7

* = starter