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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ“

Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +2 (77-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Green 46 11-21 0-2 6-7 9 1 1 1 1 28 18 +3.1
Sean Newman Jr. 46 3-12 1-5 3-3 3 7 0 0 3 10 5 +3.1
Kaden Cooper 41 3-7 0-2 1-4 14 1 3 1 2 7 17 -1.8
Amaree Abram 34 6-12 0-2 1-3 3 0 1 0 2 13 3 -6.2
AJ Bates 30 2-4 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 0 1 5 6 -8.3
Will Allen 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7
Daniel Batcho 16 4-5 0-0 2-5 1 0 1 2 1 10 8 -2.8
Sean Elkinton 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 1 +0.5
Devin Ree 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.9

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Camryn Weston 42 2-10 0-6 1-1 4 3 3 0 3 5 2 +6.6
Justin Bufford 38 1-4 0-3 0-2 7 0 0 1 2 2 4 -4.5
Jestin Porter 37 8-17 2-8 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 20 4 -0.8
Torey Alston 32 2-5 0-0 7-11 8 0 0 1 3 11 12 +9.4
Chris Loofe 28 3-4 0-1 1-4 7 1 1 2 0 7 14 +8.6
Jlynn Counter 28 4-8 2-5 6-7 4 5 0 0 1 16 16 +4.3
Essam Mostafa 18 5-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 11 9 -5.4
Tre Green 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 +3.8
Kamari Lands 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 3 0 -6.2
Christian Fussell 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

* = starter