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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee State Tigers SIU Edwardsville Cougars Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“

Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +2 (71-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Travis Harper II 37 1-6 1-4 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 5 7 +10.5
Justus Jackson 36 5-10 1-5 2-2 3 3 0 1 1 13 9 +7.3
Aaron Nkrumah 32 2-9 1-3 3-4 5 3 2 0 0 8 9 +1.4
Josh Ogundele 25 9-10 0-0 1-3 3 0 1 0 3 19 10 +1.5
Carlous Williams 24 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 9 4 +6.5
Ronald Jessamy 20 3-7 0-0 7-8 6 1 0 2 1 13 14 +1.8
Knute Wood 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.1
Antoine Lorick III 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -1.1
Ahmir Langlais 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.9

SIU Edwardsville Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray'Sean Taylor 35 6-13 3-7 9-10 3 1 1 0 5 24 11 +2.5
Desmond Polk 31 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -11.9
Ring Malith 27 3-11 1-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 8 2 -5.7
Brian Taylor 27 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 5 1 0 3 3 4 -1.8
Arnas Sakenis 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 0 6 12 +1.5
Myles Thompson 19 4-8 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 9 4 -0.4
Declan Dillon 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 7 -2.5
Kyle Thomas 13 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 8 10 -2.1
Jordan Pickett 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 5 +4.4

* = starter