Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -7 (51-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +12.0 |
| Braden Huff | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Nolan Hickman | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +15.0 |
| Khalif Battle | 30 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +16.7 |
| Graham Ike | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.8 |
| Ben Gregg | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Michael Ajayi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Dusty Stromer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustas Marciulionis | 40 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | -4.5 |
| Luke Barrett | 40 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -5.8 |
| Mitchell Saxen | 39 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -4.1 |
| Harry Wessels | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -8.7 |
| Jordan Ross | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.3 |
| Mikey Lewis | 20 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | -4.8 |
| Paulius Murauskas | 14 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -1.3 |
* = starter