Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels -7 (51-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nembhard | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +12.0 |
| B. Huff | 32 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +14.3 |
| N. Hickman | 31 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +15.0 |
| K. Battle | 30 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +16.7 |
| G. Ike | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -1.7 |
| E. Innocenti | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.8 |
| B. Gregg | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.7 |
| M. Ajayi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| D. Stromer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marciulionis | 40 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17 | -4.5 |
| L. Barrett | 40 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -5.8 |
| M. Saxen | 39 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 13 | -4.1 |
| H. Wessels | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -8.7 |
| J. Ross | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.3 |
| M. Lewis | 20 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | -4.8 |
| P. Murauskas | 14 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | -1.3 |
* = starter