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2025-03-10

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.1% 94.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Thomas 37 9-18 5-8 4-6 8 4 2 0 4 27 19 +0.9
Tyrone Riley IV 35 3-5 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 2 9 8 +4.1
Ryan Beasley 34 5-13 2-6 1-2 2 5 2 0 3 13 6 -
Junjie Wang 25 4-9 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 10 5 +5.2
Carlton Linguard Jr. 20 3-8 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 9 4 +4.0
Veniamin Abosi 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 +1.4
Ro. Beasley 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
Saba Gigiberia 13 3-3 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 +2.8
James O'Donnell 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.8
Jason Rivera-Torres 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khalif Battle 35 5-11 3-7 8-9 4 1 3 1 1 21 18 +0.1
Nolan Hickman 34 2-7 1-2 4-4 2 5 1 0 0 9 10 +8.5
Ryan Nembhard 32 4-10 0-1 0-0 2 8 2 0 1 8 9 +2.8
Graham Ike 27 9-13 0-1 9-11 10 3 1 1 2 27 27 +3.5
Ben Gregg 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 4 6 +3.4
Michael Ajayi 16 3-9 0-2 3-6 8 1 2 1 1 9 11 -2.5
Emmanuel Innocenti 15 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 -5.7
Braden Huff 12 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 0 -5.0
Dusty Stromer 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.3
Ismaila Diagne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.5

* = starter