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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% - βœ—
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 βœ— (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 26.3% 73.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 5.3% 94.7% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 21.8% 78.2% - βœ—

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moe Odum 39 6-10 3-5 2-4 2 10 0 0 1 17 18 -2.9
Stefan Todorovic 36 10-18 5-9 9-9 4 2 0 0 1 34 21 -0.7
D. DoΕΎic 31 2-8 2-6 2-2 2 0 1 2 0 8 5 -
Dovydas Butka 29 3-4 0-0 0-2 2 1 2 0 2 6 5 -0.3
Zion Bethea 24 2-6 0-4 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 4 6 -7.4
Boubacar Coulibaly 22 1-2 0-1 3-4 3 1 0 1 0 5 8 -1.5
Alonso Faure 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 +7.7
Jaxon Olvera 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +2.7
Alex Leiba 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Taj Au-Duke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Kingz 36 5-11 4-8 4-7 4 4 1 0 1 18 15 -0.3
Michael Rataj 36 0-4 0-1 1-2 0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1.2
Damarco Minor 35 8-17 1-4 5-5 8 4 0 0 2 22 15 +5.8
Parsa Fallah 32 6-9 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 0 3 16 10 -1.2
Liutauras Lelevicius 25 5-9 2-5 3-4 7 1 0 2 2 15 14 +9.3
Josiah Lake II 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 -0.4
Isaiah Sy 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.6
Johan Munch 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 +1.1
Matthew Marsh 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

* = starter