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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 41.4% 58.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% - βœ“
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 βœ“ (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 67.0% 33.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% - βœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots -13 (73-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moe Odum 38 12-17 6-10 1-1 4 11 2 0 5 31 26 +3.3
Stefan Todorovic 37 5-15 1-8 8-8 6 0 2 0 2 19 10 -5.9
Boubacar Coulibaly 35 5-7 0-0 2-3 11 2 1 1 3 12 17 +3.6
D. DoΕΎic 25 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 8 6 -
Dovydas Butka 22 1-8 0-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 2 0 -9.9
Zion Bethea 21 3-7 3-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 6 -14.8
Jaxon Olvera 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 5 +11.1
Alonso Faure 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -3.3
Taj Au-Duke 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.2

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Rapp 40 5-15 4-13 2-4 7 4 0 0 0 16 12 +6.9
Vukasin Masic 40 9-18 7-10 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 26 14 +5.8
Chris Austin 36 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 6 5 +6.1
Bol Dengdit 36 3-6 1-3 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 7 7 +1.5
Max Mackinnon 35 6-12 1-2 3-4 4 5 1 0 4 16 10 +4.5
Mikah Ballew 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.6
Vincent Delano 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.5
Jermaine Ballisager Webb 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +9.3

* = starter