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2025-03-06

Model Predictions

Model San Diego Toreros Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% - โœ—
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 โœ— (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 43.2% 56.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego Toreros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tony Duckett 37 7-14 0-0 7-8 3 1 1 1 1 21 12 +3.1
Kody Clouet 36 4-11 3-5 9-9 4 3 2 0 1 20 17 +6.1
Steven Jamerson II 29 7-10 0-0 4-4 8 2 3 2 1 18 22 +7.1
Deven Dahlke 23 1-4 1-1 4-5 1 1 2 0 5 7 2 +5.1
Joey Chammaa 21 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 +2.1
David Simon 19 5-8 0-2 3-4 7 0 0 0 3 13 9 -0.9
Santiago Trouet 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 0 0 -4.0
Kean Webb 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +5.0
Bendji Pierre 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -3.0

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elias Ralph 39 9-16 1-2 4-9 11 3 1 0 6 23 16 -4.2
Lamar Washington 36 3-11 0-1 8-9 4 8 5 0 4 14 16 -0.1
Elijah Fisher 30 2-7 0-1 6-6 3 0 1 0 5 10 2 -9.1
Petar Krivokapic 27 4-8 3-7 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 13 8 +2.0
Jazz Gardner 21 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 3 1 7 7 -1.1
Jefferson Koulibaly 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -10.0
Seth Jones 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 3 1 0 6 10 +4.9
Kris Keinys 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 4 -3.0

* = starter