Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +23 (98-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandyn Talbot | 33 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -14.7 |
| Raysean Seamster | 32 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -13.0 |
| Jaden Wells | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Diante Smith | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Brody Robinson | 23 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -5.5 |
| Lance Ware | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -5.0 |
| Darius Burford | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -8.6 |
| Cameron Jackson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Troy Hupstead | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Kade Douglas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaKobe Coles | 32 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 22 | +15.0 |
| Ray Harrison | 30 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +16.0 |
| Makaih Williams | 26 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +8.1 |
| Collin Moore | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +1.2 |
| Duke Brennan | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +12.3 |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +14.7 |
| Caleb Shaw | 16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Lok Wur | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| Styles Phipps | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Austin Maurer | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Traivar Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Jason Amador | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter