Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Texas Southern Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Southern Tigers -5 (79-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Madlock | 33 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 6-10 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| CJ Hines | 31 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Jasteven Walker | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Amarr Knox | 23 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -6.8 |
| D'Ante Bass | 22 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | +6.2 |
| Micah Octave | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4.8 |
| Micah Simpson | 17 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 13 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Ubong Okon | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +7.9 |
| Tyler Mack | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kavion McClain | 33 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | -0.9 |
| Zaire Hayes | 29 | 8-9 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 23 | +2.1 |
| Kehlin Farooq | 28 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Jaylen Wysinger | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -6.8 |
| Grayson Carter | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Kolby Granger | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Duane Posey | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Josh Farmer | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +3.3 |
| Jaylin Jackson-Posey | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +7.1 |
| Zytarious Mortle | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Kenny Hunter | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3.0 |
* = starter