Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Johnson | 40 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Sean Durugordon | 39 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -9.3 |
| R.J. Blakney | 35 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | -6.2 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -9.5 |
| Robert Davis Jr. | 19 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Caden Diggs | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Vytautas Zygas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.6 |
| Cooper Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Dani Pounds | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.6 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +7.9 |
| Tayton Conerway | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | +16.4 |
| Jackson Fields | 32 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +15.7 |
| Thomas Dowd | 23 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +6.5 |
| Coo. Campbell | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Victor Valdes | 16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +5.9 |
| Theo Seng | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Randarius Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
| Jackson Porch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Braydon Whitaker | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Kameryn Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter