Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | +8.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cesare Edwards | 40 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -3.4 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 35 | 9-19 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 17 | -1.6 |
| Malachi Brown | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -5.5 |
| Toneari Lane | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Zarique Nutter | 25 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 2-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 11 | -4.7 |
| Nick McMullen | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Malik Ferguson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Clash Peters | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer | 38 | 6-19 | 4-12 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Nate Martin | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | +2.4 |
| Dezayne Mingo | 33 | 7-20 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +10.4 |
| Mikal Dawson | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +1.5 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 30 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +7.4 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Cade Gibbs | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Kai Spears | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Erich Harding | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter