Model Predictions
| Model | Old Dominion Monarchs | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.4% | 83.6% | +9.0 | ✗ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Davis Jr. | 40 | 6-14 | 6-13 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Jaden Johnson | 39 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Sean Durugordon | 38 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | +6.0 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | +3.9 |
| R.J. Blakney | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.4 |
| Caden Diggs | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.8 |
| Dani Pounds | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
| Donovan Raymond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 34 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -9.0 |
| Tyrel Morgan | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14 | -8.0 |
| Mark Drone | 27 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2 | -6.2 |
| Christian Turner | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tylan Pope | 25 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Coleton Benson | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Austin Green | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Nate Deer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter