Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ahmad Robinson | 39 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Tyler Johnson | 37 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -11.2 |
| Alex Holt | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -5.6 |
| Brady Shoulders | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Jah Quinones | 24 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +1.6 |
| Laurynas Vaistaras | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -5.7 |
| Cam Bryant | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Marcus Overstreet | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff | 39 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Trey Bonham | 36 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +8.2 |
| Garrison Keeslar | 34 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 20 | +11.6 |
| Bash Wieland | 29 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +15.2 |
| Makai Richards | 21 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +2.7 |
| Jack Kostel | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Collin Mulholland | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Latif Diouf | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.5 |
| Noah Melson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Sean Cusano | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
* = starter