Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VMI Keydets +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Moore | 38 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Brody Fox | 33 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 3-10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | -5.8 |
| John Adams | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -5.8 |
| Cam Glover | 28 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -5.7 |
| Eze Wali | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Colby McAllister | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Paxton Davidson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | -5.7 |
| Dante Kearse | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 35 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | +5.7 |
| Rickey Bradley | 34 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +5.7 |
| AJ Clark | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +3.9 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Linus Holmstrom | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Pazon | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Cyprian Hyde | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter