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2025-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 24.9% 75.1% -
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators +22 (104-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Youngblood 30 5-9 4-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 14 6 -16.8
J. Stevenson 29 3-11 2-8 2-5 5 1 0 0 0 10 5 -11.5
L. Philon 29 1-9 1-5 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 3 1 -19.7
M. Sears 26 3-10 0-4 3-4 3 3 0 0 3 9 2 -8.3
A. Holloway 23 3-9 3-8 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 9 3 -6.5
M. Dioubate 23 5-5 0-0 2-4 12 1 2 1 3 12 20 -8.9
C. Omoruyi 16 3-5 0-0 6-6 1 0 0 2 0 12 10 -3.4
A. Sherrell 13 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 0 0 4 8 -9.2
G. Nelson 10 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 9 8 -3.5
D. Reid 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clayton Jr. 30 7-16 6-11 2-2 3 6 3 0 0 22 18 +20.6
W. Richard 29 5-8 1-4 5-6 3 0 1 1 1 16 12 +22.6
A. Martin 27 5-7 1-3 5-6 3 3 1 0 3 16 13 +12.9
A. Condon 25 3-9 1-2 1-3 4 1 0 1 2 8 3 +4.1
T. Haugh 24 4-7 1-1 2-4 4 3 0 1 0 11 12 +7.5
D. Aberdeen 19 4-11 1-3 2-3 0 2 1 0 0 11 3 +12.4
R. Chinyelu 16 5-7 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 0 10 13 +10.9
M. Handlogten 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 0 4 14 +15.7
U. Klavzar 13 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 4 4 -0.3
I. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.3
B. Andersen 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.1

* = starter