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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Margin 21.6% 78.4% +7.1 โœ“ (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +29 (99-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Koby Brea 33 3-10 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 8 2 -19.2
Travis Perry 30 2-8 1-3 6-8 4 1 0 0 2 11 6 -18.0
Amari Williams 28 4-8 0-0 8-13 7 4 0 1 2 16 18 -12.5
Otega Oweh 21 1-6 0-0 6-8 4 0 1 1 5 8 3 -22.1
Trent Noah 19 2-7 0-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 1 -14.1
Andrew Carr 19 8-10 1-2 1-2 2 1 2 1 1 18 13 -13.4
Collin Chandler 18 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 2 -11.8
Brandon Garrison 16 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 1 3 -16.4
Ansley Almonor 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 1 -13.6

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Sears 30 5-17 1-8 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 13 0 +20.3
Labaron Philon 26 8-14 1-4 4-6 3 4 3 1 1 21 17 +18.0
Chris Youngblood 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 1 +19.2
Mouhamed Dioubate 22 5-6 1-1 2-2 8 0 1 2 1 13 17 +13.4
Aden Holloway 21 4-9 2-4 3-4 2 4 1 0 1 13 10 +28.4
Jarin Stevenson 19 6-8 3-5 1-1 4 0 3 1 1 16 15 +16.7
Grant Nelson 16 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 7 10 +12.5
Aiden Sherrell 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 2 7 +14.7
Clifford Omoruyi 13 3-5 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 0 8 10 +10.6
Derrion Reid 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 +3.4
Max Scharnowski 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.8

* = starter