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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 45.2% 54.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% -
Log Adjusted 12.6% 87.4% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Florida Gators +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Grill 31 3-10 2-7 3-3 1 2 1 0 0 11 5 -0.5
T. Perkins 30 5-8 0-0 3-6 4 3 0 0 0 13 12 -1.0
A. Robinson II 27 5-8 0-1 3-3 2 3 2 0 3 13 9 -2.1
T. Bates 27 7-18 1-4 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 16 -1 -0.9
J. Gray 15 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 2 4 -2.4
J. Crews 14 3-6 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 +0.9
T. Pierce 14 2-5 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 +0.5
M. Warrick 12 1-3 1-1 3-4 0 1 1 0 0 6 5 +0.6
A. Shaw 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 +0.6
P. Marshall 8 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 +0.7
T.O. Barrett 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 +0.7
M. Allen 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.3
J. Sanchez 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -0.0
A. Boateng 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 +0.2

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Richard 35 6-13 3-8 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 17 9 +3.1
W. Clayton Jr. 33 6-8 3-4 3-4 3 6 2 1 5 18 17 +3.1
A. Martin 30 7-9 2-4 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 17 13 +2.0
T. Haugh 27 3-4 0-1 10-12 7 5 1 0 3 16 22 +1.1
A. Condon 26 4-9 0-2 1-2 8 2 0 3 2 9 11 +1.9
R. Chinyelu 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 6 6 -0.3
U. Klavzar 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 0 +0.0
M. Handlogten 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 0 5 9 -0.4
D. Aberdeen 9 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 +0.2
I. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter