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2025-03-14

Model Predictions

Model Ole Miss Rebels Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% -
Efficiency 41.5% 58.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% -
Points Off/Def 23.4% 76.6% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Pedulla 33 6-13 0-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 12 -2 -1.0
J. Murray 32 3-10 0-4 4-4 2 2 5 0 1 10 8 -1.5
M. Dia 30 3-11 1-3 3-4 7 1 3 0 0 10 10 +5.5
D. Davis 30 5-8 1-3 1-3 6 2 0 1 4 12 9 +3.7
M. Murrell 28 0-5 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 +3.0
D. Barnes 23 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 +3.5
J. Brakefield 23 2-4 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -8.9
E. Klafke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.8

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Broome 35 8-14 0-2 7-10 15 1 1 0 3 23 23 +9.7
M. Kelly 35 4-10 1-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 9 3 +0.1
D. Jones 31 5-8 2-5 1-1 2 2 0 0 1 13 8 +11.5
C. Johnson 26 1-5 1-1 0-0 7 0 2 0 3 3 4 +9.4
C. Baker-Mazara 23 2-5 1-2 2-3 0 6 1 0 1 7 8 -6.9
T. Pettiford 17 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 5 4 -3.9
C. Moore 16 0-1 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 +6.5
Dy. Cardwell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -9.5
J. Hudson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 +1.0
J. Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter