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2025-03-13

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.0% 67.0% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% -
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (85-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fears 34 10-22 2-11 6-7 4 5 3 0 1 28 17 +1.2
K. Elvis 31 4-9 1-4 3-4 3 4 1 0 2 12 9 -4.9
J. Moore 30 5-14 2-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 12 8 -5.7
B. Goodine 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 +13.2
L. Northweather 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 5 +1.2
G. Taylor Jr. 19 3-5 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 9 8 +3.5
M. Wague 17 3-4 0-0 3-3 6 0 0 1 3 9 9 +1.6
D. Miles 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -10.8
D. Forsythe 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 3 +8.6

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Brea 37 8-12 4-7 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 22 14 +4.7
O. Oweh 36 8-14 2-3 9-10 4 5 3 0 2 27 23 +4.7
A. Carr 28 4-9 1-5 2-5 7 1 1 2 1 11 12 -3.0
C. Chandler 22 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -2.7
A. Williams 20 3-5 0-1 1-4 3 2 1 0 2 7 6 -7.8
B. Garrison 20 2-4 0-1 1-1 3 1 2 0 1 5 6 +13.9
T. Noah 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 4 7 -2.9
A. Almonor 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 +1.0
L. Butler 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 +5.6
T. Perry 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.1

* = starter