Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.8% | 85.2% | +9.6 | ✓ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +29 (91-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Sears | 38 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -26.2 |
| Cam Carter | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 2 | -14.3 |
| Dji Bailey | 32 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -21.0 |
| Curtis Givens III | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -16.2 |
| Robert Miller III | 21 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -15.9 |
| Derek Fountain | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -20.6 |
| Mike Williams III | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -22.0 |
| Daimion Collins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Trace Young | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 26 | 9-19 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | +20.7 |
| Cameron Matthews | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | +12.5 |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 22 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +31.6 |
| KeShawn Murphy | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 15 | +27.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +32.5 |
| RJ Melendez | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +7.8 |
| Riley Kugel | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +11.2 |
| Dellquan Warren | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +9.1 |
| Michael Nwoko | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +4.7 |
| Martavious Russell | 9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +3.1 |
| Harrison Alexander | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Jeremy Foumena | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Gai Chol | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
* = starter