Model Predictions
| Model | Grambling Lady Tigers | Jackson State Lady Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Lady Tigers +10 (57-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Grambling Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Douthsine Prien | 38 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Kahia Warmsley | 36 | 8-25 | 2-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Sharonica Hartsfield | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Alyssa Phillip | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | +10.4 |
| Lydia Freeman | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Arianna Mosley | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Shaniah Nunn | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +3.4 |
| Zaria Johnson | 6 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Claire Simmons | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Halima Salat | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
Jackson State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaileyah Cotton | 36 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Taleah Dilworth | 34 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -11.1 |
| Zoe Cooper | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +4.2 |
| Leianya Massenat | 31 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Diaka Berete | 25 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Shalance Montoya | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +5.7 |
| Jakiylah Esco | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Tierney Kelsey | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.3 |
| Zaria Glover | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
| Ruthie Mbugua | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.0 |
* = starter