Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | American University Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: American University Eagles +10 (72-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox | 38 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | -7.6 |
| Chandler Baker | 31 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Nicolas Louis-Jacques | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Parker Jones | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Jeff Woodward | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | +4.0 |
| Brady Cummins | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.7 |
| Sam Wright | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -8.8 |
| Josh Ahayere | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| Julian Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Stephens | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | +9.4 |
| Lincoln Ball | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +12.6 |
| Greg Jones | 30 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +12.6 |
| Matt Rogers | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +14.3 |
| Colin Smalls | 26 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Matt Mayock | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Geoff Sprouse | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Wyatt Nausadis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Eric Michaels | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Mason Whittaker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
* = starter