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2025-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Holy Cross Crusaders Lafayette Leopards Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% - โœ—
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“

Actual: Lafayette Leopards +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Green 38 6-15 5-9 0-0 12 3 2 1 6 17 14 +0.6
DeAndre Williams 37 5-9 2-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 0 12 13 +8.7
Caleb Kenney 36 7-14 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 2 2 14 8 -9.9
Joe Nugent 34 6-10 5-8 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 17 9 -8.4
Jaiden Feroah 29 2-6 0-2 0-0 12 1 1 4 1 4 15 +10.7
Gabe Warren 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -3.1
Jaden Kirkwood 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.1
Declan Ryan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

Lafayette Leopards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Chaikin 36 6-11 3-5 3-4 0 4 0 1 2 18 10 +6.4
Andrew Phillips 36 1-8 0-4 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 4 1 +3.3
Justin Vander Baan 36 11-17 0-0 3-6 11 5 0 1 2 25 23 +6.4
Caleb Williams 35 3-11 0-2 7-9 6 6 4 0 0 13 18 +4.4
Ryan Pettit 27 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 6 6 -1.7
Luka Savicevic 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -4.9
Misha Bednostin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
TJ Berger 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.0
Malik Rasul 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter