Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Hopkins | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -9.3 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 29 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | +13.2 |
| Andrija BukumiroviÄ | 28 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | -4.1 |
| Afan Trnka | 28 | 5-10 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Tarence Guinyard | 27 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | -6.7 |
| Carlos Cortijo | 25 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +7.4 |
| M. Žužić | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | +12.4 |
| Lamine Niang | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.6 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Lucas Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 40 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 25 | +0.1 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 39 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 36 | 9-16 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 22 | +8.7 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +10.3 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +4.4 |
| Ante Beljan | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | -18.2 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.4 |
* = starter