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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Lindenwood Lions Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Lindenwood Lions +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerone Morton 34 4-12 0-3 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 8 5 -0.1
Tyler Brelsford 30 4-7 2-4 0-1 3 1 0 0 5 10 2 -7.5
Dieonte Miles 25 1-9 0-0 6-7 6 0 0 3 2 8 6 +1.9
Kenny White Jr. 25 4-12 2-3 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 12 8 +5.0
Kade Ruegsegger 20 3-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 4 +0.1
Anouar Mellouk 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 4 -12.9
George Marshall 15 2-8 2-4 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 7 2 -9.1
Steven Clay 13 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 7 -6.0
Trent Scott 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 4 -7.0
Khouri Carvey 9 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5.0

Lindenwood Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Bass 39 3-12 0-4 17-17 3 4 4 0 1 23 21 +8.1
Jadis Jones 37 4-9 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 1 3 10 5 +8.8
Anias Futrell 36 5-12 1-5 4-4 13 0 2 2 0 15 20 +11.8
Markeith Browning II 32 6-22 0-5 2-2 6 1 1 0 2 14 -2 +15.0
Jordan Wildy 24 2-2 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 0 0 7 12 +6.1
Aly Tounkara 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 2 8 -0.0
Nathan Johnson Jr. 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 5 -1.0
Clayton Jackson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -8.9

* = starter