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2025-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Saint Francis Red Wolves Central Connecticut Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - โœ—
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 โœ— (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.9% 75.1% - โœ—
Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 11.4% 88.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 11.3% 88.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—

Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils -3 (43-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Juan Cranford Jr. 33 6-15 2-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 14 3 +1.8
Chris Moncrief 33 2-6 0-1 1-2 6 2 3 0 2 5 8 +3.3
Riley Parker 32 2-9 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 0 -3.3
Daemar Kelly 31 3-12 0-7 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 6 3 +2.7
Valentino Pinedo 21 4-7 0-0 1-3 4 1 2 1 2 9 8 +2.5
Wisler Sanon 15 1-4 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 3 5 -2.8
Aidan Harris 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 -1.7
Jeremy Clayville 9 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 +4.1
Bobby Rosenberger 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.2
Miles Webb 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Haid 31 4-16 0-5 6-8 5 1 2 1 3 14 4 -3.7
Joe Ostrowsky 30 3-7 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 1 0 6 8 -4.3
Abdul Momoh 29 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 2 6 11 +2.2
J. Jones 29 2-10 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 4 -5 -4.1
Darin Smith Jr. 26 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 7 -1.8
Jayden Brown 20 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 3 2 -1 -6.3
Davonte Sweatman 18 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -2 +1.8
Jaelen McGlone 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.8
Max Frazier 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 +1.9

* = starter