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2025-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 42.8% 57.2% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks +19 (64-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Booker 36 4-13 1-1 1-2 10 0 3 0 2 10 8 -18.1
R. Harmon 35 6-15 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 14 3 -11.7
S. Holle 27 0-7 0-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 1 -2 -19.5
T. Jones 24 4-8 0-0 6-6 8 0 1 3 2 14 16 -10.9
N. Mwenentanda 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -8.6
B. Preston 18 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -4.7
K. Oldacre 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 -14.5
J. Lee 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 -1 -2.5
J. Carlton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -1.9
J. Codio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.0

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Johnson 32 1-7 0-2 0-0 5 4 0 1 1 2 4 +21.2
C. Kitts 30 7-12 0-0 1-1 9 3 1 1 1 15 16 +14.8
S. Feagin 27 5-7 1-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 11 13 +15.6
T. Johnson 24 5-7 2-3 2-2 0 1 1 1 4 14 6 +14.2
T. Paopao 23 2-8 0-4 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 4 2 +12.7
J. Edwards 22 4-8 0-0 3-3 3 1 1 1 1 11 8 +14.0
B. Hall 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 +14.5
M. Fulwiley 19 2-10 0-1 1-1 3 2 2 0 2 5 0 +5.2
M. McDaniel 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0
M. Dauda 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter