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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
ELO 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
KenPom Style 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +7 (56-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Sheppard 34 3-7 -1 2-2 6 1 3 8 11
M. Williams 33 5-13 -1 1-2 5 4 4 11 3
S. Smith 24 2-6 - -1 7 2 1 4 6
K. Gilbert 23 1-6 1-1 2-4 3 2 5 0
J. Wolfenbarger 20 1-2 - 1-2 3 1 1 2 1 3 7
Player #4684384 20 5-11 -1 -2 2 1 4 1 3 10 4
L. Poa 20 -3 - 3-4 1 2 3 -1
S. Day-Wilson 12 - - - 1 2 1 1 3
J. Richard 8 2-5 1-4 - 5 0
A. Del Rosario 6 -3 - - -3

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
S. Holle 40 -8 -5 - 6 1 1 0
M. Booker 39 10-19 3-6 2-3 6 1 1 1 4 25 11
R. Harmon 37 3-8 -1 4-4 3 1 1 2 10 5
T. Jones 25 2-8 - 5-6 7 3 2 9 9
J. Carlton 19 -3 -1 - 8 1 4 2
K. Oldacre 16 1-3 - 2-2 3 1 2 3 4 4
J. Lee 16 1-4 -2 2-2 2 4 2
N. Mwenentanda 5 1-3 - 2-3 4 2 4 3
B. Preston 3 -1 - - 1 2 2

* = starter