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2025-03-08

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 46.3% 53.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% -
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% -
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +7 (56-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sheppard 34 3-7 0-1 2-2 6 1 3 0 0 8 11 +2.2
M. Williams 33 5-13 0-1 1-2 5 4 0 0 4 11 3 -2.1
S. Smith 24 2-6 0-0 0-1 7 0 0 2 1 4 6 -0.0
K. Gilbert 23 1-6 1-1 2-4 3 0 0 0 2 5 0 -6.6
J. Wolfenbarger 20 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 2 1 3 7 -1.5
A. Morrow 20 5-11 0-1 0-2 2 1 4 1 3 10 4 +0.1
L. Poa 20 0-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
S. Day-Wilson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 3 -6.4
J. Richard 8 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -0.3
A. Del Rosario 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -4.9

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Holle 40 0-8 0-5 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 0 0 +7.9
M. Booker 39 10-19 3-6 2-3 6 1 1 1 4 25 11 +6.8
R. Harmon 37 3-8 0-1 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 10 5 +2.0
T. Jones 25 2-8 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 3 2 9 9 +3.5
J. Carlton 19 0-3 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 4 0 2 +2.8
K. Oldacre 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 3 4 4 +2.8
J. Lee 16 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 2 +6.8
N. Mwenentanda 5 1-3 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -4.4
B. Preston 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 +4.0

* = starter