Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.9% | 74.1% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Ezquerra | 39 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -4.1 |
| Zaire Williams | 36 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -2.8 |
| Zavier Fitch | 31 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | -0.8 |
| Churchilll Bounds | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Zae Blake | 18 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | -6.8 |
| Ja'Kair Sanchez | 18 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | +0.0 |
| R.J. Greene | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Keyontae Lewis | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -9.0 |
| Tyje Kelton | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -6.0 |
| Di'Andre Howell-South | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.0 |
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentino Pinedo | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Daemar Kelly | 35 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +6.8 |
| Riley Parker | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +5.8 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Bobby Rosenberger | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +8.7 |
| Chris Moncrief | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Jeremy Clayville | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +0.9 |
| Wisler Sanon | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +4.9 |
| Aidan Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter