Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.2% | 60.8% | +2.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +13 (69-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart | 36 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | -4.5 |
| Alvaro Cardenas | 34 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Andrew Meadow | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -8.8 |
| RJ Keene | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -17.2 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Julian Bowie | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 17 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -11.3 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -11.8 |
| Javan Buchanan | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5.1 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 36 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | +13.1 |
| Kyan. Evans | 31 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +9.6 |
| Jalen Lake | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.8 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Ethan Morton | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Bowen Born | 13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +15.3 |
| Keshawn Williams | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +6.1 |
| Nikola Djapa | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +17.9 |
| Jaden Steppe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Luke Murphy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter