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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Oklahoma Sooners Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 60.8% 39.2% -2.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.3% 33.7% -
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -4 (65-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Verhulst 33 6-12 2-3 2-2 5 1 2 2 4 16 10 +9.6
S. Williams 26 5-16 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 13 -2 -4.6
Z. Vann 25 1-7 0-1 7-7 6 3 3 0 1 9 13 +13.5
R. Beers 24 7-13 0-2 6-7 11 1 1 0 3 20 17 +7.0
S. Vann 22 1-8 0-5 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 2 2 +7.3
L. Keys 22 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 -1 +8.5
L. Scott 16 0-5 0-0 4-4 5 3 3 1 1 4 10 -0.6
R. Scott 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.6
L. Allen 10 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 5 +3.8
N. Tot 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.0
B. Culliton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1.7

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Strack 39 5-14 0-2 2-2 16 0 2 0 6 12 10 -1.5
G. Amoore 38 12-27 3-8 2-2 5 7 1 0 0 29 15 -2.5
D. Lawrence 36 5-14 1-8 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 11 1 -6.1
A. Hassett 33 2-5 0-3 0-0 8 1 0 3 1 4 10 -2.1
T. Key 20 2-8 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 0 5 5 -1 +2.0
L. Blue 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1.6
C. Silva 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 5 4 2 -7.0
S. Tyler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1.5

* = starter